NC State
W-L: (21-11) PR = 96.6278Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A Tennessee SEC (15-14, 96.6) 80-77 1109 H USC B10 (18-14, 96.8) 68-69 1111 A Maine AE (18-13, 94.1) 66-47 1116 H TCU B12 (33- 5, 97.6) 59-69 1119 A Coastal Car SB (12-18, 93.6) 71-58 1123 H Rhode Island A10 (28- 5, 96.1) 63-68 1127 A Green Bay HL (25- 9, 95.1) 79-67 1128 A So Miss SB (16-16, 93.8) **-56 1203 H Oklahoma SEC O (26- 8, 97.8) 98-** 1207 A Seton Hall BE (20-13, 95.4) 61-53 1214 A Miami (Fl) ACC (18-15, 95.6) 87-61 1218 A Georgia Tech ACC (14-19, 95.2) 87-58 1221 A Davidson A10 (22-12, 95.0) 68-59 101 A Stanford ACC (20-14, 95.7) 74-46 104 A California ACC (22-14, 95.9) 71-60 108 H Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 65-75 111 A SMU ACC ( 9-21, 93.8) 91-54 115 A Wake Forest ACC (14-18, 94.2) 95-77 118 H Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 80-88 124 A Virginia ACC (21-13, 96.1) 78-76 129 A Boston Col ACC ( 5-26, 92.9) **-84 202 H No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 59-61 205 A Florida St ACC (11-20, 94.8) 83-55 208 A Va Tech ACC (23-10, 96.3) 82-62 215 H Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 67-79 219 H Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 65-83 222 A Syracuse ACC (22-10, 96.5) 82-69 226 A Wake Forest ACC (14-18, 94.2) 65-56 301 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 7-22, 93.0) 93-43 306 H Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 63-81 320 A Tennessee SEC (15-14, 96.6) 76-61 322 H Michigan B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 63-92
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A Tennessee 80-77 3 0 1.94
1109 H USC 68-69 -1 0 -0.79
1111 A Maine 66-47 19 3 0.00
1116 H TCU 59-69 -10 -1 -1.02
1119 A Coastal Car 71-58 13 3 0.00
1123 H Rhode Island 63-68 -5 1 - -2.57
1127 A Green Bay 79-67 12 1 0.52
1128 A So Miss **-56 54 3 0.00
1203 H Oklahoma 98-** -5 -1 -0.88
1207 A Seton Hall 61-53 8 1 0.83
1214 A Miami (Fl) 87-61 26 1 1.01
1218 A Georgia Tech 87-58 29 1 0.55
1221 A Davidson 68-59 9 2 0.41
101 A Stanford 74-46 28 1 1.11
104 A California 71-60 11 1 1.29
108 H Clemson 65-75 -10 1 - -2.56
111 A SMU 91-54 37 3 0.00
115 A Wake Forest 95-77 18 2 0.00
118 H Louisville 80-88 -8 -1 -1.11
124 A Virginia 78-76 2 0 1.51
129 A Boston Col **-84 22 4 0.00
202 H No Carolina 59-61 -2 -1 -1.22
205 A Florida St 83-55 28 2 0.21
208 A Va Tech 82-62 20 0 1.66
215 H Notre Dame 67-79 -12 0 -1.53
219 H Duke 65-83 -18 -1 -1.04
222 A Syracuse 82-69 13 0 1.87
226 A Wake Forest 65-56 9 2 0.00
301 A Pittsburgh 93-43 50 4 0.00
306 H Notre Dame 63-81 -18 0 -1.53
320 A Tennessee 76-61 15 0 1.94
322 H Michigan 63-92 -29 -1 -0.60
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1123 H Rhode Island 63-68 -5 1 - -2.57 108 H Clemson 65-75 -10 1 - -2.56 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Tennessee (15-14, 96.6) 80-77 -3.34 7.62 0.01 0.95 14.47
3 H USC (18-14, 96.8) 68-69 -3.05 7.91 -0.01 0.95 -1.45
3 A Maine (18-13, 94.1) 66-47 -5.84 5.12 0.01 0.95 9.73
3 H TCU (33- 5, 97.6) 59-69 -2.28 8.68 -0.01 0.95 -1.09
3 A Coastal Car (12-18, 93.6) 71-58 -6.33 4.63 0.01 0.95 8.80
3 H Rhode Island (28- 5, 96.1) 63-68 -3.83 7.13 -0.01 0.95 -1.82
3 A Green Bay (25- 9, 95.1) 79-67 -4.76 6.20 0.01 0.95 11.77
3 A So Miss (16-16, 93.8) **-56 -6.14 4.82 0.01 0.95 9.16
3 H Oklahoma (26- 8, 97.8) 98-** -2.14 8.82 -0.01 0.95 -1.02
3 A Seton Hall (20-13, 95.4) 61-53 -4.46 6.51 0.01 0.95 12.36
3 A Miami (Fl) (18-15, 95.6) 87-61 -4.27 6.69 0.01 0.95 12.70
3 A Georgia Tech (14-19, 95.2) 87-58 -4.73 6.23 0.01 0.95 11.83
3 A Davidson (22-12, 95.0) 68-59 -4.88 6.08 0.01 0.95 11.56
3 A Stanford (20-14, 95.7) 74-46 -4.17 6.79 0.01 0.95 12.90
3 A California (22-14, 95.9) 71-60 -3.99 6.97 0.01 0.95 13.24
3 H Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 65-75 -3.82 7.14 -0.01 0.95 -1.82
3 A SMU ( 9-21, 93.8) 91-54 -6.14 4.82 0.01 0.95 9.17
3 A Wake Forest (14-18, 94.2) 95-77 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.95 10.07
3 H Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 80-88 -2.37 8.59 -0.01 0.95 -1.13
3 A Virginia (21-13, 96.1) 78-76 -3.77 7.19 0.01 0.95 13.65
3 A Boston Col ( 5-26, 92.9) **-84 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.95 7.49
3 H No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 59-61 -2.48 8.48 -0.01 0.95 -1.18
3 A Florida St (11-20, 94.8) 83-55 -5.07 5.89 0.01 0.95 11.18
3 A Va Tech (23-10, 96.3) 82-62 -3.62 7.34 0.01 0.95 13.93
3 H Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 67-79 -2.80 8.16 -0.01 0.95 -1.33
3 H Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 65-83 -2.30 8.66 -0.01 0.95 -1.10
3 A Syracuse (22-10, 96.5) 82-69 -3.41 7.55 0.01 0.95 14.34
3 A Wake Forest (14-18, 94.2) 65-56 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.95 10.07
3 A Pittsburgh ( 7-22, 93.0) 93-43 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.95 7.65
3 H Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 63-81 -2.80 8.16 -0.01 0.95 -1.33
3 A Tennessee (15-14, 96.6) 76-61 -3.34 7.62 0.01 0.95 14.47
3 H Michigan (27- 7, 98.0) 63-92 -1.86 9.10 -0.01 0.95 -0.89
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226.40
|
winning pts = 240.5596 losing points = -14.1552
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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